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My Location: Los Angeles, CA

Current Time: 04:57:52 AM PDT


	Other Alerts

Weather Alert

		Other Weather Alerts
Type	Hydrologic Outlook
Issued By	NWS Brownsville TX
Issuing Time	Sat, 23 Aug 2025 23:34:00 PDT
Broadcast Time	Sat, 23 Aug 2025 23:34:00 PDT
Valid Until	Sun, 24 Aug 2025 11:45:00 PDT
Brief Description	Hydrologic Outlook
Detailed Description	ESFBRO The Brownsville Texas National Weather Service Office has implemented Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) for the Los Olmos Creek basin in Deep South Texas. AHPS enables the National Weather Service to provide long-range probabilistic outlooks. This service is also available on the internet. In the table below. the 90 through 10 percent columns indicate the chance the creek could rise above the listed stage levels in the next 90 days. Example: The Los Olmos Creek near Falfurrias has a flood stage of 11 feet. There is a 50 percent chance the Falfurrias forecast point will rise above 2.2 feet during the next 90 days. Chance of Exceeding Stages at Specific Locations Valid [08/20/2025 - 11/18/2025] Location FS(FT) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% -------- ----- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- Los Olmos Creek Falfurrias 11.0 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.2 3.0 3.7 4.5 4.9 This long-range probabilistic outlook contains numbers that are calculated using multiple scenarios from 50 years of historical climatological and stream flow data. These numbers also take into account current conditions of the creek and soil moisture. By providing the complete range of probabilistic numbers. the level of risk associated with the long-range planning decisions can be determined. Additional supportive data and explanation are available on the internet at: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/long_range.php?wfo=bro Long range probabilistic outlooks are issued around the third Thursday of every month.

All Alerts

Region	Alert
South Dakota	Flood Warning (14)
South Carolina	Flood Warning (4)
Georgia,South Carolina	Flood Warning (3)
Minnesota	Flood Warning (20)
Illinois,Wisconsin	Flood Warning (12)
North Carolina	Flood Warning (3)
Minnesota	Winter Weather Warning, Watch, or Advisory
Idaho	Public Severe Weather Alert (3)
Nevada	Public Severe Weather Alert (4)
California	Public Severe Weather Alert (24)
Oregon	Public Severe Weather Alert (30)
Washington	Public Severe Weather Alert (16)
Alaska	Public Severe Weather Alert (11)
North Carolina	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (6)
South Carolina	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
Florida	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
Maryland	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (32)
Virginia	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (26)
New Jersey	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (6)
Delaware	Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (6)
Iowa	Flood Statement (3)
North Carolina	Flood Statement (4)
Arizona	Flood Statement (4)
California,Nevada	Flood Statement
Alaska	Special Weather Statement
Maine	Special Weather Statement
Florida,Georgia	Special Weather Statement
Arizona	Air Stagnation Advisory
Oregon	Air Stagnation Advisory (3)
Wyoming	Air Stagnation Advisory
Idaho	Air Stagnation Advisory (4)
Colorado	Air Stagnation Advisory (2)
Texas	Air Stagnation Advisory
Oregon,Washington	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (48)
Idaho,Washington	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (3)
California	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (47)
Arizona	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (20)
Alaska	Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (4)
Oregon	Red Flag Warning
Washington	Red Flag Warning (10)
California,Oregon	Red Flag Warning (2)
Florida	Marine Weather Statement (10)
Coastal North Carolina	Marine Weather Statement (19)
Coastal North Carolina	Marine Weather Statement
Coastal Maine,Coastal Atlantic (south to NC)	Marine Weather Statement (34)
New York	Marine Weather Statement (16)
Michigan	Marine Weather Statement (7)
Lake Superior - Minnesota	Marine Weather Statement (2)
Lake Superior - Wisconsin,Lake Superior; St. Marys River	Marine Weather Statement (52)
Indiana,Michigan	Marine Weather Statement (11)
Massachusetts,Rhode Island	Marine Weather Statement (2)
Delaware	Marine Weather Statement (9)
New Jersey	Marine Weather Statement (23)
Maryland,North Carolina,Virginia	Marine Weather Statement (9)
Coastal Louisiana-Mississippi,Gulf of Mexico waters,Coastal Mississippi	Marine Weather Statement
Alaska	River Statement (2)
Nevada	River Statement (2)
Texas	River Statement

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