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Other Weather Alerts |
Type |
Tropical Cyclone Statement |
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Issued By |
NWS Newport/Morehead City NC |
Issuing Time |
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 20:36:00 PDT |
Broadcast Time |
Mon, 18 Aug 2025 20:36:00 PDT |
Valid Until |
Tue, 19 Aug 2025 04:45:00 PDT |
Brief Description |
Tropical Cyclone Statement |
Detailed Description |
HLSMHX This product covers Eastern North Carolina **Hurricane Erin Forecast to Pass Offshore, But Still Impact Eastern North Carolina** NEW INFORMATION --------------- * CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - None * CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS: - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for East Carteret, Hatteras Island, Northern Outer Banks, and Ocracoke Island * STORM INFORMATION: - About 780 miles south-southeast of Buxton NC or about 770 miles south-southeast of Morehead City NC - 24.4N 71.7W - Storm Intensity 125 mph - Movement Northwest or 320 degrees at 8 mph SITUATION OVERVIEW ------------------ Hurricane Erin is expected to remain a major hurricane as it moves north-northwestward through mid week. While the center of Erin is expected to remain several hundred miles off the North Carolina coast, it will bring several significant coastal impacts to eastern North Carolina due to its large size. Moderate to significant storm surge inundation of 2 to 4 feet above ground level is expected along the oceanside, resulting in a significant threat to life and property. The worst impacts will likely be felt along the Outer Banks, from Duck to Cape Lookout, with more moderate impacts south of Cape Lookout. This is expected to be a prolonged duration event beginning Tuesday, peaking Wednesday and Thursday then gradually improving late week, with water levels peaking during the high tides. Portions of NC-12 and secondary roads along the Outer Banks, in particular on Hatteras and Ocracoke Islands, will likely be impassable or inaccessible for several days due to significant ocean overwash. Minor storm surge inundation, 1 to 2 ft, will also be possible for soundside areas adjacent to the southern Pamlico Sound. Erin is expected to increase in size over the next few days and tropical storm force winds will be possible Wednesday night and Thursday morning along the Outer Banks. Stronger and more frequent rip currents are expected along area beaches through the week. Extensive beach erosion is also likely due to strong long period wave energy with 10 to 20 foot waves in the surf zone. Very dangerous marine conditions will continue for the coastal waters, sounds and rivers, with gusty winds and dangerous seas. This will create treacherous conditions for mariners. POTENTIAL IMPACTS ----------------- * SURGE: Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts across the Outer Banks from Duck southward to Hatteras, Ocracoke, and Core Banks. Potential impacts in this area include: - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast. - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low spots. - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents. - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages. Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited impacts across the Crystal Coast. Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated. * WIND: Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the Outer Banks from Duck southward to Hatteras, Ocracoke, Core Banks, and portions of Down East Carteret. Potential impacts in this area include: - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over. - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways. - Scattered power and communications outages. Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is anticipated. * OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS: Life threatening rip currents and marine conditions will persist through the week. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS ---------------------------------- * EVACUATIONS: Follow the advice of local officials. Portions of Dare and Hyde counties are under mandatory evacuation orders. * OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION: Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your home or business. When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the center of the storm. If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter. If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to move to safe shelter on higher ground. Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of others. When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness activities to become unsafe. Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are unable to make personal preparations. If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which you are located and where it is relative to current watches and warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially pertaining to area visitors. Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes to the forecast. * ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION: - For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov - For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org - For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org NEXT UPDATE ----------- The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 5:00 AM EDT, or sooner if conditions warrant. |
|
Region |
Alert |
Illinois |
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
|
Iowa |
Flood Warning (15)
|
Illinois |
Flood Warning (4)
|
South Dakota |
Flood Warning (5)
|
North Carolina |
Flood Warning (10)
|
South Carolina |
Flood Warning (7)
|
Minnesota |
Flood Warning (12)
|
Georgia |
Flood Warning (5)
|
Wisconsin |
Flood Warning (11)
|
Pamlico Sound - North Carolina,Coastal North Carolina,Southeast Coast (Atlantic) from NC south; Puerto Rican Waters; Caribbean Sea; Southwest North Atlantic |
Hurricane Local Statement (8)
|
Coastal Virginia,Coastal North Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
Coastal Virginia,Coastal North Carolina |
Hurricane Local Statement
|
Oregon |
Flash Flood Watch
|
Louisiana,Mississippi |
Public Severe Weather Alert (8)
|
Arkansas |
Public Severe Weather Alert (22)
|
Tennessee |
Public Severe Weather Alert (4)
|
Oklahoma,Texas |
Public Severe Weather Alert (11)
|
Illinois,Indiana,Kentucky,Missouri |
Public Severe Weather Alert (12)
|
Alabama |
Public Severe Weather Alert (15)
|
Montana,Wyoming |
Public Severe Weather Alert (4)
|
Kansas,Missouri |
Public Severe Weather Alert
|
Nevada |
Public Severe Weather Alert (2)
|
Indiana |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
Illinois |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (4)
|
North Carolina |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement (25)
|
Guam |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
Hawaii |
Coastal Flood Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
Iowa |
Flood Statement (2)
|
Illinois,Indiana |
Flood Statement (11)
|
Wisconsin |
Flood Statement (4)
|
Minnesota,North Dakota |
Flood Statement
|
Indiana |
Special Weather Statement
|
Wisconsin |
Special Weather Statement
|
Wyoming |
Air Stagnation Advisory
|
North Carolina |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (5)
|
Lake Superior - Wisconsin,Lake Superior - Minnesota,Lake Superior; St. Marys River |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (12)
|
Arkansas,Louisiana,Texas |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (13)
|
Iowa,Minnesota |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (2)
|
Utah |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement
|
Arizona |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (17)
|
California |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (53)
|
Mississippi |
Non Precipitation Warning, Watch, or Statement (2)
|
Nevada |
Red Flag Warning (2)
|
California |
Red Flag Warning
|
Coastal California |
Marine Weather Statement (12)
|
Coastal California |
Marine Weather Statement
|
Chesapeake Bay,Tidal Potomac,Coastal Atlantic (south to NC) |
Marine Weather Statement (64)
|
Georgia,South Carolina |
Marine Weather Statement (3)
|
Maryland,North Carolina,Virginia |
Marine Weather Statement (30)
|
Massachusetts,Rhode Island |
Marine Weather Statement (9)
|
Delaware |
Marine Weather Statement (7)
|
New Jersey |
Marine Weather Statement (12)
|
New York |
Marine Weather Statement (7)
|
Florida |
Marine Weather Statement (7)
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